Andalusia measures coalition government erosion and feudal options in the new election cycle.

Andalusia is re-opening the election cycle with an appointment that will have a significant national hearing. Pedro Sanchez and Alberto Nunez Feio meet for the first time in an election in the traditional feudal lord of socialism, which has no expectations of a council restoration and is fighting at least to re-publish the 2018 results while PP runs the election campaign. Expectations of an absolute majority touch, allowing him to move away from the Vox government before the catastrophe of citizens. This will be the worst case scenario for the PSOE, which has seen the transfer of socialist votes to PP in recent polls. But the Andalusian election will not only be a thermometer for the wear and tear of Sanchez, who managed to keep the cast in Castilla and Leონშიn, but it is also the first test for Yolanda Diaz, who was involved in the campaign in this case.

The popular party at 19J comes with the symptoms that due to the created expectations it has more to lose than win. No one doubts that Juan will win Moreno and far, far away on Sunday. But this analysis was already being done by Pablo Casado’s strategists at the National Headquarters on Genoa Street in Madrid, before the arrival of Alberto Nunez Feijo. If victory is not in doubt, what threatens PP? If it conforms to the normality of extreme right-wing rule.

Neither Moreno nor Feio directly rejected a coalition with Vox. Both said they did not want to hope they did not need to. But at no point did they reject Macarena Olona as vice president. On the contrary: the responsibility was left first to the Andalusians and later to the other parties. As if agreeing with those associated with sex education and pederasty is a natural phenomenon from which PP abstraction is impossible. Moreno’s strategy mainly included the demand for a frustrated socialist vote to “stop Vox.” “This is not just a change of government, this is a change of mentality in Andalusia,” he said at the end of a new phase of the campaign, which opened in Andalusia in 2018 with his arrival in the junta.

Thus, Feijo PP’s first election test could end with a very good result in the election in which he struck a torpedo, however, his attempt to escape the far right and position himself as a foreign party to the history after Galicia escaped him. Alfonso Fernando Maniuco’s agreement with Vox in Castile and Leon. Aware of this problem, both Moreno and Feio insisted on restraining themselves from the left after Vox indicated it was “the worst” but without giving up on them.

The tension is the result of a change in Vox’s strategy, after agreeing to keep Isabel Diaz Ayuso in government in Madrid. The party president made it clear in one of his actions: “I do not know if we will get 30 seats, as some polls say, or 15, as others say. What we get will be crucial for change.” A phrase that hides another message: Vox’s expectations are no longer what they were just a month ago. Because they could reach a second position, Olona’s candidacy was important in investing in Mernon.

In the face of the growing PP spirit in the polls, the PSOE unexpectedly sought to revolt against the poll, as well as against PP’s strategy, to demand a useful vote so as not to depend on the far right. We socialists are people who are not fools and if we are leftists, we will vote for leftists to rule the left. “We are not going to vote for the right to find the right policy,” the candidate said. Juan Espadas, an hour earlier. The campaign closed in an interview with TVE, where he laid the groundwork for the next day and made sure his project had little time to solidify – 20% of Socialist voters did not know him. CIS – and that he will stay ahead no matter what happens: “I am a long-distance runner. What is being denied in both San Vicente and Ferraz is Moreno Bonilla’s restraint so that he does not depend on Vox and remind Feijo that he already had an offer to make a “sanitary cordon” on the far right. Castilla and Le ლეn’s election and “ignored” it.

The PSOE campaign sought to undermine government management with a wide deployment of ministers and socialist leaders – although Sanchez’s presence was less than that of other election appointments with only three campaign acts. However, according to polls, they are unable to capitalize on Moncloa’s performance. The Espadas justified the years of socialism in the junta, including ousted former presidents Manuel Chavez and Jose Antonio Grinian after Jose Luis Rodriguez’s patron saint did so at a rally and focused his messages on dismantling public services in Andalusia, especially public health. But in the socialist ranks they acknowledge that the PP no longer creates fear in what was the repository of their votes after the restoration of democracy. “Now that there are those who say they do not distinguish between leftists and rightists and tell us to distinguish between two rights, we must tell them that the truth on June 19 is not to choose between right-wingers who smile and those on the right. Screaming, the truth is that you have to choose a right-wing or left-wing government; A government loyal to health or a government that is not committed to health; A government that is committed to solidarity or government. “It stops and increases inequality,” Sanchez said at a recent rally in Seville.

And that is, it seems that in all polls nothing breaks the catapulted PP and concerns are gripped by the symptoms of the PSOE cycle change that appear less than a year after the municipal and regional elections. Andalusia is largely reflected in the psychology of socialism, which expects some sort of shock from Sanchez, who is currently focusing on the NATO summit in late June and debating the state of the nation as the next stages. In Monclo, they also believe the election is being held in the midst of a perfect storm in which the aftermath of the war begins in the pockets of citizens, as both Sanchez and European authorities have warned since day one of the war. Russia invades Ukraine – but they believe the economic woes will be temporary and take off in the face of 2023.

The left-wing PSOE is fighting between the Por Andalucía Coalition – which includes the Podemos, IU, Más País, Equo, Alianza Verde and the Andalusian People’s Initiative – and Adelante Andalucía, a brand led by Teresa Rodriguez. Leads. The average for all published polls predicts that, separately, both candidates will get fewer seats than they reached 17 in 2018, before the anti-capitalist sector split. The crisis also affected the formation of Por Andalucía, which is marked by reprimands between Podemos and the IU.

Andalusia has witnessed a conflict that actually erodes the weight of various actors at the state level. For Andalusia, he trusts the candidacy backed by the government’s second vice president and labor minister, Yolanda Diaz. His presence at three rallies, with Ione Bellara, Alberto Garzon and Inigo Erekhon boosting morale at the bases, but it remains to be seen whether the mobilization of fighters will turn into votes. The candidate, Inma Nieto, backed by Alberto Garzon and Irene Montero, said in a recent statement that she had seen an improvement in expectations in recent days: “We have in our hands that in Andalusia there is indeed a block of rights for the majority of progress.”

Por Andalucía is the first rehearsal of the upcoming project, which Diaz might lead for the 2023 generals, and which will begin formation on July 8 in Madrid, in the first action of “Sumar”. The result of the coalition will be the first thermometer in support of Diaz, who chose the Socialist vote.

If the Confederate space struggles to maintain the state pulse, Ciudadanos risks surviving the election. According to polls, it is a very difficult challenge. Candidate Juan Marin has vowed that if the party survives to a minimum, he will abandon politics. This will be the second blow in just a few months, after the Castilla-Lebon debacle, and it will send a clear message to the state leader, Ines Arimadas. “You did it the way my mother did,” Marin told his people during the campaign farewell.

Ciudadanos trust the undecided and fight as a guarantee that PP is not run with Vox. But in the campaign, the Arimadas have embraced the identity politics of the far right. The term “nationality” was proposed by the party president on the proposal to remove it from the constitution. The name used for Andalusia, which gained its autonomy through the same process as Catalonia, Euskadia or Galicia. Risky strategy against the background of uncertain future, reports Carmen Moraga.

Source: El Diario

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