Regional elections on May 28 will allow the PSOE to retain all of its regional power and may even extend it, although Extremadura and the Valencian community are at risk. Regional macro survey Published this Thursday by the Center for Sociological Research (CSR).
Socialist Guillermo Fernández Vara will remain behind the PP, which will win this community by slightly less than three points, given the question that garners the most sympathy. This indicates that Populism will receive 31.7% of the vote, while the PSOE will remain with 28.2% in a context in which the decisive vote could be decisive.
However, in Sound evaluation The CIS does not give clear results, since the range of seats to be distributed maintains a limit of ten representatives. According to this estimate, the PSOE will get 24 to 32 seats in Extremadura, but the PP will be around 26 to 35.
This estimate also clears the left for governing in Madrid society, with the addition of PSOE, Más Madrid and Unidas Podemos. The alliance would exceed the expectations of the popular Isabel Díaz Ayuso, who was just four seats short of an absolute majority in the last regional elections.
Everything would be up in the air, on the other hand, due to the wide margin of the pitchfork drawn by the José Félix Tezanos directorial institute. It would give the PSOE between 31 and 38 seats, putting it ahead of the current main opposition force, Madrid. CIS gives PP from 55 to 67. More Madrid will reach 21 to 25 representatives, United We Can from 10 to 13, Vox from 7 to 9 and Ciudadanos from 0 to 4.
The distance between PSOE and PP is narrowing
The study, which asks only for the communities in which elections are held – except Andalusia, Euskadi and Galicia – also indicates that the PP will keep Murcia, while in Navarre the alliance of the Socialists and Geroa Bais could be republished and in Valencia. The total of PSOE, Unidas Podemos and Compromís can govern the community, surpassing the sum of PP and Vox. The PSOE would clearly win in Aragon, Castilla-La Mancha and La Rioja and, although by smaller margins, an alliance with the PRC could also retain Cantabria.
A macro poll with samples in 12 communities and the autonomous cities of Ceuta and Melilla predicted the vote ahead of a hypothetical general election, indicating that the PSOE would win the election by just 0.6 points over the PP. The latest CIS barometer, published yesterday, showed a two-point gap between the Socialists and the Populists, but Thursday’s sample of 5,545 interviews showed the PSOE taking 29.4% of the vote compared to the PP’s 28.8%.
Source: El Diario