Barely two points separate the PP from the PSOE, its narrowest lead in five months, when the wind in favor of the new populist leader, the so-called “Feiyo effect”, allowed Alberto Núñez Feiyo to pull away by nearly eight points. in front This comfortable cushion gradually disappeared, poll by poll, and the rating of the PP leader decreased: if he was leading in this rating a few months ago, now he is 10 points away from the first place.
This drop for the PP makes up for the poor data that the PSOE is also reaping, falling slightly but less than its rival. The Simple Lógica poll for elDiario.es also includes the recovery of Vox, after a sharp fall in October, and the new growth of Unidas Podemos.
The November barometer shows, first of all, a drop of eight tenths for the PP, leaving it with 29.6% of the vote, three points above the best data, but well above the results it achieved under Pablo Casado in 2019. , when he received 21.2% of the votes.
The Socialists also fell, although half as popular, allowing them to narrow the gap slightly. Of course, the PSOE is on 27.6% of the vote, below the 28% threshold they won in the general election.
Below, the battle between Vox and United We Can for third place continues. The far-right made a small recovery since the last poll, dropping five points. The formation of Santiago Abascal recovers from 2.4 to 15.6, which is five tenths higher than the result of 2019, but far from the good data they were collecting.
United We Can, on the other hand, manages to cling to the third poll on the rise, although Vox’s recovery prevents them from getting any closer in the battle for third place. The party would receive 11.1% of the vote if the election were held now, down from 12.8% in 2019. Ciudadanos barely adds a tenth to reach 1.7%, while Más País remains at 1.5%.
Voter retention figures are also bad for the PP, which has dethroned Vox as the party with the most followers in recent weeks. Although he continues to lead this division, Núñez Feijoo’s party retained 74% of the 2019 voter turnout a month ago, and is now down to 67.8%. Of course, he is still ahead of Vox, who maintains 65.7%, but he has a significant path of open water: almost 20% of his voters go to the PP.
PSOE manages to keep only 60% of its former voters, Unidas Podemos with 54.8% (one in ten decided to vote for the Socialists in the next election), and Ciudadanos repeats as the least loyal formation: only 12.8% of their voters will repeat the orange vote.
In the November barometer, the battle between ideological blocs tilts to the right once again. After October, when the gap between the two fell to four points, Vox’s recovery allows the right to get closer to 47% of the total vote, compared to the 40% that left-wing formations would add.
fall in rating
The Simple Lógica survey found that between October and November, virtually all political leaders experienced a drop in their ratings. So do Second Vice President and Labor Minister Yolanda Díaz, who continues to score best at 37.4%, and Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez, who scores one point less.
But the chart highlights a downward trend that has remained unchanged in recent months and that intersects with the rest of the leader’s estimates. This is the blue line representing the leader of the PP: Alberto Núñez Feijoo managed to emerge as the best-perceived politician among voters in the month of July, but since then he has fallen without even touching the ground. This month, he is the fourth most popular politician with 26.8%, behind Más País leader Inigo Errejón, who has 29.6%.
There is a change in the last positions as well. Podemos Secretary General Ione Bellara is again positioned as the worst-rated politician, below Vox leader Santiago Abascal.
Source: El Diario