According to a macro poll published this Friday by the Center for Sociological Research, the PSOE will win over the PP in the next municipal elections, which assessed how the national picture looks in these elections. CIS does not break down results by city, but instead predicts how many votes each party will receive in all local elections. The result is that the Socialists will win with 32.8% of the vote, six points more than the PP.
A macro-survey published by the CIS conducted 5,557 interviews distributed across 17 autonomous communities, Ceuta and Melia. Its purpose was to examine the opinion of citizens on municipal politics: their main concerns at the local level, their satisfaction with the nearest rulers and their voting intentions.
This last reading leaves the PSOE as the winner with 32.8% of the vote ahead of the PP, which would need 26.8%. That gap is wider than what separates the two parties for the general election, which is also included in this barometer, and which leaves the Socialists ahead by just 3.4 points.
In the 2019 municipal elections, the PSOE won a total of 29.3% of the vote, so it will now increase by more than three points according to the CIS. The PP, on the other hand, reached 22.2% of the ballots, so it now has an improvement of five points.
According to municipal estimates, “United We Can” will be the third party with the most votes next May, receiving 8.7% of the ballots, while Vox will receive only 5.9%. Below them, the ERC will increase by 3% of the vote, over 2.3% of citizens. Already below 2% are compromises (1.6%), joints on cat (1.5%) and PNV (1.4%).
The candidate weighs more than the party
CIS included questions related to local politics in this barometer, such as what is more important when voting. 53.3% respond that they give more importance to the specific candidate represented than to the party (37.3%), and 50.3% say they will decide their vote based on municipal issues, compared to 31.9% who say . that national issues and issues related to the autonomous community weigh more.
In general, 44% of respondents believe that their mayors perform good management, and 8.6% – very good. In contrast, 23% that performance is poor and 10.8% very poor.
The barometer also focused on the issues of greatest concern, forming an average based on the importance respondents assigned to each. Garbage collection is the most important, followed by selective waste collection (paper, glass, plastic) and street cleaning. As a fourth problem, the promotion of public housing appears, followed by lighting and the conservation of streets and asphalt.
Source: El Diario